Tentative Stabilization, Sluggish Recovery?
عربي, 中文, Español, Français, 日本語, Português, Русский
In the October World Economic Outlook, we described the global economy as in a synchronized slowdown, with escalating downside risks that could further derail growth. Since then, some risks have partially receded with the announcement of a US-China Phase I trade deal and lower likelihood of a no-deal Brexit. […]
Weak Spots in Global Financial System Could Amplify Shocks
By Tobias Adrian and Fabio Natalucci
عربي, 中文, Español, Français, 日本語, Português, Русский
In the United States, the ratio of corporate debt to GDP is at record-high levels. In several European countries, banks are overloaded with government bonds. In China, bank profitability is declining, and capital levels remain low at small and medium-size lenders. […]
Why Investment May Come Under Threat
By Weicheng Lian, Natalija Novta, and Petia Topalova
عربي, 中文, Español, Français, 日本語, Português, Русский
It might be hard to imagine a time when a 512 kilobyte computer cost more than $28,000. That was in 1984. Today, you can buy a much more powerful computer for under $300. […]
Economic Forces, Not Tariffs, Drive Changes in Trade Balances
By Johannes Eugster, Florence Jaumotte, Margaux MacDonald, and Roberto Piazza
عربي, 中文, Español, Français, 日本語, Português, Русский
New IMF research finds that macroeconomic factors, not tariffs, explain most of the changes in trade balances between two countries. […]
5 Charts That Explain the Global Economy in 2018
By Oya Celasun, Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti, and Maurice Obstfeld
December 20, 2018
عربي, 中文, Español, Français, 日本語, Português, Русский
The global economy started 2018 on a positive note but the momentum lost steam (photo: scyther5/iStock)
- The global economy started 2018 on an upbeat note, buoyed by a pickup in global manufacturing and trade through 2017. […]
The Global Expansion: Still Strong but Less Even, More Fragile, Under Threat
July 16, 2018
Versions in عربي, Baˈhasa indoneˈsia, 中文, Español, Français, 日本語, Português, Русский
The escalation of trade tensions is the greatest near-term threat to global growth (photo: wildpixel/Getty Images by iStock)
Amid rising tensions over international trade, the broad global expansion that began roughly two years ago has plateaued and become less balanced. […]
Climate Change Will Bring More Frequent Natural Disasters & Weigh on Economic Growth
by Sebastian Acevedo, and Natalija Novta
November 16, 2017
Versions in عربي (Arabic), 中文(Chinese), Français (French), 日本語 (Japanese), Русский (Russian); Español (Spanish)
As natural disasters become more frequent and intense, countries should invest in resilient infrastructure to better withstand such hazards (photo: Carlos Garcia Rawlins/Newscom).
The weather seems to be getting wilder and fiercer. From devastating hurricanes in the U.S. and the Caribbean, to raging wildfires in California and ruinous […]
Global Economic Upswing Creates a Window of Opportunity
October 10, 2017
Versions in عربي (Arabic), 中文 (Chinese), Français (French), 日本語 (Japanese), Русский (Russian), and Español (Spanish)
The global recovery is continuing, and at a faster pace. The picture is very different from early last year, when the world economy faced faltering growth and financial market turbulence. We see an accelerating cyclical upswing boosting Europe, China, Japan, and the United States, as well as emerging […]