The Long and the Short of It—Government Debt Plans in 2011 and Beyond

Fiscal policy this year in some leading advanced economies is shaping up to be quite different from what was expected just last November, according to the just-published Fiscal Monitor update. Some of this change is attributable to the somewhat better than projected fiscal results in 2010. Most of it, however, is due to additional stimulus measures introduced in recent months. Altogether, sovereign risks remain elevated and in some cases have increased since November 2010. No amount of deficit reduction this year, however, can be sufficient to restore countries’ fiscal accounts to robust good health. Putting the government accounts in order will require a multi-year effort. So, how are countries doing in setting out their longer-term plans? Here, we see somewhat of a mixed picture.